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【单选题】

The majority of successful senior managers do not closely follow the classical rational model of first clarifying goals, assessing the problem, formulating options, estimating likelihood of success, a decision, and only then taking action to implement the decision. Rather, in their day-by-day tactical activities, these senior executives rely on what is vaguely termed "intuition" to manage a network of interrelated problems that require them to deal with ambiguity, inconsistency, novelty, and surprise; and to integrate action into the process of thinking. Generations of writers on management have recognized that some practicing managers rely heavily on intuition. In general, however, such writers display a poor grasp of what intuition is. Some see it as the opposite of rationality; others view it as an excuse of capriciousness. Isenberg"s recent research on the cognitive processes of senior managers reveals that managers" intuition is neither of these. Rather, senior managers use intuition in at least five distinct ways. First, they intuitively sense when a problem exists. Second, managers rely on intuition to perform well-learned behavior patterns rapidly. This intuition is not arbitrary or irrational, but is based on years of painstaking practice and personal experience that build skills. A third function of intuition is to synthesize isolated bits of data and practice into an integrated picture, often in an "Aha!" experience. Fourth, some managers use intuition as a check on the results of more rational ysis. Most senior executives are familiar with the formal decision ysis models and tools, and those who use such systematic methods for reaching decisions are occasionally suspicious of solutions suggested by these methods which run counter to their sense of the correct course of action. Finally, managers can use intuition to bypass in-depth ysis and move rapidly to find out a plausible solution. Used in this way, intuition is an almost instantaneous cognitive process in which a manager recognizes familiar patterns. One of the implications of the intuitive style of executive management is that "thinking" is inseparable from acting. Since managers often "know" what is right before they can yze and explain it, they frequently act first and explain later. ysis is invariably tied to action in thinking/acting cycles, in which managers develop thoughts about their companies and organizations not by yzing a problematic situation and then acting, but by acting and yzing in close concert. Given the great uncertainty of many of the management issues that they face, senior managers often initiate a course of action simply to learn more about an issue. They then use the results of the action to develop a more complete understanding of the issue. One implication of thinking/acting cycles is that action is often part of defining the problem, not just of implementing the solution.Notes:capriciousness 多变,反复无常cognitive 认识的run counter to 与...背道而驰;违反bypass 绕过in close concert一齐,一致given prep. 考虑到,由于 The logical organization of the first paragraph of the text is that

A.
a conventional model is dismissed and an alternative introduced.
B.
the results of recent research are introduced and summarized.
C.
two opposite points of view are presented and evaluated.
D.
a widely accepted definition is presented and qualified.
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参考答案:
举一反三

【单选题】数据表达方式的多变,体现在()。

A.
用途的多变
B.
统计方式的多变
C.
图表呈现的多变
D.
各种查询组合
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【单选题】单变模式和多变模式的区别不包括:( )
A.
预警目的
B.
着眼点
C.
预测方法
D.
预测内容
【单选题】数据表达方式的多变,体现在()。
A.
用途的多变
B.
统计方式的多变
C.
图表呈现的多变
D.
各种查询组合
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